Milk cows grazing grass at the dairy farm in summer. Beautiful mountain pasture with blooming wildflowers.

Dairy hubs

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Dairy hubs

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
20% - 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Short Term (0–5 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
20% - 25% (CAGR)
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
< USD 500,000
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)

Business Model Description

Establish and operate dairy hub facilities to aggregate and process milk, where either (i) a dairy processing company builds a dairy hub in collaboration with milk farmers, or (ii) farmers or cooperatives invest, own and operate a dairy hub.

Expected Impact

Lower waste, reduced costs and higher qualities of milk and dairy products benefit the industry and support farmers and other value chain actors.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Armenia: Gegharkunik
  • Armenia: Shirak
  • Armenia: Aragatsotn
  • Armenia: Lori
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

In 2018, agriculture was 13.7% of GDP, 28% of export and 32.2% of labor (9). Key challenges in the sector include inefficient water use and pollution (water stress of 57.43% (4)), inefficient soil use and soil damage (32% agri-land utilized) (7, 8, 13), high food waste and loss (15% in cereals; 19% in roots and tubers; 20% in fish, and 23% in eggs subsector (8)) as well as low farmer incomes.

The Government Plan 2019-2023 promotes the efficient use of agricultural resources and improved access of irrigation water for all. Pillars of the Plan are to enhance the productivity and food security, expand exports, promote effective farming technologies (intensive orchards, drip irrigation, anti-hail systems, modern storage and machinery), and increase income from agricultural activities (1).

In 2018, 48% of labor in agriculture were women. They are more engaged in informal (and less secure) low skill field work, e.g. harvesting, sorting, and packaging. Women have low access to land, technologies, knowledge and finance, and are less likely to run their own farm. They are paid 35% less than men for their work (10). The Ministry of Agriculture was dominated by men, i.e. 62% men and 38% women (14).

Government support tools in agriculture include low interest rate leasing or lending programmes for farmers to invest in agri-machinery and equipment, technologies (intensive orchards, drip irrigation) and hail protection systems and greenhouses. The Government also leads a programme on promoting agricultural insurance systems (1, 3).

Key bottlenecks in agri-food include prevalence of fragmented smallholders (330,000, with less than 1.5ha each) and low cooperation, low productivity due to low investment in and inefficient farming and marketing technologies and practices, underdeveloped market infrastructure (e.g. low storage capacity), and low use of sustainable practices (21, 23, 25, 26).

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Dairy farming is important in mountainous areas with cheese export constituting 1% of total export (25, 26). Key issues in the subsector are a shortage of milk supply (0.5M l/year), insufficient milk collection capacity, low feed supply, unsustainable grazing and pasture management. This leads to low productivity of 1.5t / year / cow (26, 27) and low milk quality and price.

The Agriculture Development Strategy 2020-2030 aims at enhancing productivity and market operation in agriculture, development of agriculture data and forecasting systems. One of the key priorities is the promotion of modern facilities and technologies, including farming and post-harvest technologies (e.g. cold storage), modern greenhouses and irrigation, and disaster protection systems (14).

The Government provides subsidies (interest rate subsidy) for financing investment in modern dairy farms, milk collection points, and high quality animals. Investment in pastures is also promoted (3).

Industry

Meat, Poultry and Dairy

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Dairy hubs

Business Model

Establish and operate dairy hub facilities to aggregate and process milk, where either (i) a dairy processing company builds a dairy hub in collaboration with milk farmers, or (ii) farmers or cooperatives invest, own and operate a dairy hub.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

20% - 25%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Current milk processing volume of 450,000 tons with three times higher potential.

Armenia currently has a milk processing volume of 450,000 tons per year, but the potential is at least three times more. Additionally, informal milk and cheese production is significant as 40% of milk is processed informally in Armenia. The dairy processing industry employs around 1,900 Armenians (26).

Armenia's cheese export has been increasing at about 25% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) during 2012-2018 (26).

A significant market for cheese export to the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) market, primarily Russia with over 266,000 tons of imported cheese and curd in 2018 (26).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

20% - 25%

For a medium-size dairy hub, which processes up to 10,000 tons of milk per year, achieved an IRR of 25% (21, 22, 26).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Short Term (0–5 years)

A medium-size dairy hub, which processes up to 10,000 tons of milk per year, has a pay-back period of 3-4 years (21, 22, 26).

According to stakeholder information, commercializing a dairy hub facility typically takes 6-12 months, while commercialising silage production and pasture typically break even after 6 and 12-18 months, respectively (1).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

< USD 500,000

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

For dairy hubs, there are no strong market incentives among dairy producers to invest in improving the upstream milk supply chain and cooperate closely with smallholder farmers. However, since 2015 the demand for milk and incentives have increased.

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Most of Armenia's pastures are under the ownership of communities, who may apply limitations in relation to maximum renting period, which, could be a disincentive for investors.

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Challenges occur due to the prevalence of small, fragmented, and non-professional cattle farms with little control over the safety or nutritional value of their milk. It is critical to cooperate with business oriented, enthusiastic and trustworthy dairy farmers.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Lack of milk collection and storage capacity leads to inefficient market, low productivity, and low price and quality of milk. Armenia's productivity in dairy, with 1.5-2 t/cow/year, lags behind the productivity of many peer countries (26).

Low productivity leads to higher levels of greenhouse gas emission by the dairy industry. Agriculture accounts for 19.6% of Armenia's GHG emissions, of which the lion's share is from animal husbandry (12, 13).

Gender & Marginalisation

Women have less job opportunities and lower wages compared to men in agriculture.

Expected Development Outcome

Reduced food loss and waste, as proper milk collection reduces agricultural product spoilage.

Reduced transport and storage costs and improved marketing enhances the productivity of milk and dairy. This in turn enhances the performance of milk/cheese processing industry and the agri-food supply chain, and increases income of farmers and other value chain actors.

Higher quality of milk and processed dairy products enhances competitiveness and income. This contributes to the promotion of sustainable farming, feed production and grazing practices.

Gender & Marginalisation

More and better job opportunities for women in dairy hubs.

Primary SDGs addressed

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.3.1 Volume of production per labour unit by classes of farming/pastoral/forestry enterprise size

2.3.2 Average income of small-scale food producers, by sex and indigenous status

Secondary SDGs addressed

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

A large number of small and mid-scale formal and informal dairy farmers and cooperatives. Communities will benefit from better job opportunities.

Planet

Reduced negative impact on environment due to higher productivity.

Corporates

Dairy farms producing milk benefitting from access to dairy hubs.

Public sector

The Ministry of Agriculture and the Government at large will benefit from a stronger agricultural sector, contributing positively to the country's economy and the wellbeing of its citizens.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

Corporates

Exporters of dairy products with better supply of inputs.

Outcome Risks

Milk collecting and storage units require the use of ozone depleting substances, such as ammonia, chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) and hydrochlorofluorocarbon (HCFC).

Impact Risks

Smallholder farmers may have difficulties in following good farming and grazing practices, and, thus, increase GHG and pasture degradation, and in turn diminish the positive effect of dairy hubs.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

The enhanced dairy hub infrastructure will improve the well-being of farmers, and address market imperfections in dairy supply chain via low waste, costs and high quality.

Who

Small and mid-scale dairy farmers facing difficulties due to a lack of storage facilities, and dairy producers facing difficulties due to unstable supply of milk.

Risk

The model is proven and technology for dairy hubs is readily available and affordable, pending the adoption of farmers and milk processers.

Impact Thesis

Lower waste, reduced costs and higher qualities of milk and dairy products benefit the industry and support farmers and other value chain actors.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

The Government Plan 2019-2023 promotes the efficient use of and access to agricultural resources to improve food security and increase income from agriculture (1).

The Agriculture Development Strategy 2020-2030 prioritizes the enhancement of productivity and agri-market operations. It does not address dairy hubs directly but priorities include the promotion of investments in modern technologies, including for cattle breeding (14).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The Government offers a programme for subsidizing the lending and leasing of agri-foods equipment with an interest rate of 4% (6).

Fiscal incentives: Armenia extends VAT payments deferral of up to three years for imported agricultural equipment and goods within the scope of investment projects approved by the Government, including for the dairy industry (22).

Regulatory Environment

The Government Decision No 336-A of 22 March 2007 on the Promotion of Cattle Breeding sets measures for importing high quality cattle breeds and supporting private farmers for the required investments (28).

Safety requirements in relation to milk and dairy products are defined in the technical regulation approved by the Government Decision No 1925-N of 21 December 2006 (29).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Dairy producers such as Borisovka, Marianna, Dustr Melanya, Biokat, Bonilat that apply elements of such a collaboration with farmer; supermarket chains such as Yerevan City, SAS, Carrefour and Nor Zovq.

Government

Ministry of Economy, Ministry of Environment, State Food Safety Agency.

Multilaterals

World Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), USAID, European Union (EU).

Non-Profit

Cheese producer associations where the 10 largest producers account for approximately 90% of total formal dairy production; pasture users associations.

Public-Private Partnership

Community-Business Cooperation for Pasture Use and Management.

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Armenia: Gegharkunik

Dairy farming is concentrated in the Gegharkunik, Shirak, Aragatsotn and Lori regions of Armenia, which together hold 57% of Armenia's cattle and produced 58% of the country's milk. Other regions involved in the dairy industry, to a lesser degree, are Armavir, Syunik and Kotayk (11).
rural

Armenia: Shirak

Dairy farming is concentrated in the Gegharkunik, Shirak, Aragatsotn and Lori regions of Armenia, which together hold 57% of Armenia's cattle and produced 58% of the country's milk. Other regions involved in the dairy industry, to a lesser degree, are Armavir, Syunik and Kotayk (11).
rural

Armenia: Aragatsotn

Dairy farming is concentrated in the Gegharkunik, Shirak, Aragatsotn and Lori regions of Armenia, which together hold 57% of Armenia's cattle and produced 58% of the country's milk. Other regions involved in the dairy industry, to a lesser degree, are Armavir, Syunik and Kotayk (11).
rural

Armenia: Lori

Dairy farming is concentrated in the Gegharkunik, Shirak, Aragatsotn and Lori regions of Armenia, which together hold 57% of Armenia's cattle and produced 58% of the country's milk. Other regions involved in the dairy industry, to a lesser degree, are Armavir, Syunik and Kotayk (11).

References

See what sources were used to establish the investment opportunity’s data and find resources that could be consulted to explore more.
    • (21) UNDP interviews with stakeholders, 2019.
    • (22) Investment Guide Armenia, Ministry of Economic Development and Investment, 2017, http://uk.mfa.am/u_files/file/invest/investinarm.pdf."
    • (23) Voluntary National Report (VNR) of Armenia, for the UN High-level Political Forum on Sustainable Development, 2018.
    • (24) Sustainable Development Report, 2019, https://www.sdgindex.org/reports/sustainable-development-report-2019.
    • (25) Tackling the Challenge of Smallness in Agricultural Market, 2016, G. Gabrielyan et al, Center of Agribusiness and Rural Development (CARD), Armenia.
    • (26) Cheese Production and Export Supply Chain: Armenia, Gagik Gabrielyan, International Finance Corporation, 2017, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/29328.
    • (27) Statistical Committee of Armenia. Annual Reports on Foreign Trade.
    • (28) Government Decision No 336-A of 22 March 2007 on the Promotion of Cattle Breeding. https://www.arlis.am.
    • (29) Government Decision No 1925-N of 21 December 2006. https://www.arlis.am.